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How Much Do You Really Need to Retire Comfortably?
$1 million used to be enough—now, what’s a realistic retirement target?

Good morning!
Remember those wild days of 2020? Feels like a lifetime ago (thank goodness!)—but the ripple effects are still here. Inflation has stayed elevated, leaving many of us wondering: does this change how much we really need to retire comfortably?
Today, I’m cutting through the noise to answer that question. I’ll break down what a realistic retirement target looks like, factoring in debt-free living, average expenses, and the power of Social Security.
By the end, you’ll have a clear sense of what it takes to plan a retirement that’s both comfortable—and truly achievable.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for educational purposes only and is not personalized financial or investment advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.
FINANCIAL TOOL
How Much Do You Really Need to Retire Comfortably?
As inflation has accelerated in the past few years, the question of how much you really need to retire has become paramount.
A million doesn’t go as far as it used to. But for those of us who still see our sixties decades away, what is a good and reasonable target?


Step 1: Start With Today’s Average Expenses
According to The Motley Fool, as of 2023, the average U.S. household spends about $6,440 per month. Of that, roughly $2,120 goes toward housing.
But consider this: a worthy goal of retirement is to be debt-free. No mortgage, no car loans. That changes your average monthly number.
Total monthly expenses (with mortgage): ~$6,500
Total monthly expenses (without mortgage): ~$4,500
So if you’re on track to be debt-free, your basic living expenses in retirement could comfortably be around $4,500/month.
Of course, everyone will have their own unique standard of living. Some are comfortable on less, and others can’t imagine spending less than $10,000/month. Either is fine—but we’re working with generalities for the sake of this illustration.

Step 2: Factor In Inflation
The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation on average over many years, but it’s likely to be elevated over the next decade—estimated closer to 2.3%.
Using this figure, let’s project average expenses over time:
*Note: If reading this on mobile, turn your screen horizontal for a better view of the chart.
Years to Retirement | Monthly Expenses (Debt-Free) | Annual Expenses x 25 | Monthly 1x Social Security Est | Adjusted Needed Savings |
---|---|---|---|---|
10 | $5,650 | $1,695,000 | $2,500 | $945,000 |
20 | $7,100 | $2,130,000 | $3,150 | $1,185,000 |
30 | $8,900 | $2,670,000 | $3,950 | $1,485,000 |
40 | $11,200 | $3,360,000 | $4,950 | $1,875,000 |
Quick takeaways:
The 25x rule (multiply annual expenses by 25) gives a rough target for your nest egg.
Social Security can reduce the amount you personally need to save.
These calculations account for one average Social Security check. If two checks are being received, this reduces the need even further.
Even if retirement is decades away, $2 million is usually enough for average expenses, assuming debt-free living and careful planning.

Step 3: The Real Goal
Retirement planning is more than just hitting a number. It’s about:
Paying off debt before you retire
Maintaining a lifestyle that feels comfortable
Accounting for inflation and healthcare costs
With good planning, $2 million can provide a solid, comfortable retirement for most people.

Retirement Matters—But Your Life Doesn’t Have to Wait
Planning for retirement is important, but at The Wealth Expedition, I focus on helping you make meaningful progress today.
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